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Red87
61559.8
582937.2
406337.2
Blue99
881919.8
288143.3
875021.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80770501001502002503003504008799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.4
34.135.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End10.1
blue by 6.1
43.31.1
38.439.5
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
Second
37.20.8
33.234.0
Auto13.4
Teleop16.5
End7.3
red by 15.9
8750
#20
21.31.1
16.217.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Third
6155
#41
9.80.8
7.58.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 9.9
8819
#26
19.81.8
18.019.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed