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Red54
713815.8
461027.2
905120.3
Blue57
801929.3
348113.8
618022.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656940506080901005457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#21
27.20.5
28.528.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
blue by 2.1
8019
#17
29.30.7
28.728.0
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5
Second
9051
#43
20.30.8
17.216.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End7.8
blue by 1.9
22.20.5
22.221.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End8.9
Third
7138
#33
15.80.5
15.815.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End4.6
red by 2.0
3481
#15
13.80.7
12.912.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned