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Red114
861017.8
268753.6
61559.8
Blue121
288143.3
125531.7
406337.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64117204080100140160180114121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.63.2
42.745.9
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
red by 10.3
43.31.2
39.540.7
Auto10.4
Teleop25.8
End7.2
Second
8610
#34
17.83.2
15.518.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End6.9
blue by 19.5
37.21.9
35.537.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End10.1
Third
6155
#41
9.83.2
8.311.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 21.8
1255
#13
31.71.2
27.829.0
Auto10.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned