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Red89
461027.2
258246.2
296917.2
Blue118
268753.6
129636.4
850713.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94105608010012014089118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.0
45.645.6
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
blue by 7.4
53.61.1
50.251.3
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
Second
4610
#21
27.20.0
26.526.4
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
blue by 9.2
1296
#12
36.41.1
34.135.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Third
2969
#35
17.20.0
17.317.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 3.5
8507
#29
13.71.1
12.713.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned