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Red134
258246.2
905120.3
680052.4
Blue115
557234.9
268935.6
801929.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910150150200134115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.3
51.852.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.0
End8.9
red by 16.8
2689
#11
35.60.3
35.135.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.4
End7.2
Second
46.20.3
45.645.9
Auto11.7
Teleop26.7
End7.8
red by 11.3
5572
#19
34.90.3
34.434.7
Auto13.6
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
9051
#43
20.30.3
19.720.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End7.8
blue by 9.0
8019
#17
29.30.3
28.929.1
Auto12.2
Teleop10.6
End6.5