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Red120
125531.7
129636.4
421926.0
Blue107
876916.6
582937.2
461027.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10082204060120140160120107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#12
36.40.4
35.535.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.1
End8.6
blue by 0.8
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto13.4
Teleop16.5
End7.3
Second
1255
#13
31.70.4
30.731.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
red by 4.4
4610
#21
27.20.6
26.627.2
Auto6.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Third
4219
#23
26.00.4
25.125.5
Auto9.9
Teleop10.6
End5.6
red by 9.4
8769
#24
16.60.6
16.016.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.0