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Red136
268753.6
857328.1
246861.7
Blue113
367935.9
406337.2
811424.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1579550200250136113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.2
60.460.2
Auto12.1
Teleop39.6
End10.0
red by 24.5
37.20.0
37.037.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End10.1
Second
53.60.2
52.352.1
Auto10.3
Teleop35.7
End7.7
red by 17.7
3679
#10
35.90.0
35.635.6
Auto11.9
Teleop15.7
End8.3
Third
8573
#22
28.10.2
26.826.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.0
End6.0
red by 3.6
8114
#31
24.50.0
24.324.3
Auto10.2
Teleop8.4
End5.9