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Red72
174542.5
521214.5
637743.7
Blue122
910534.9
271445.0
541144.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135153010020030040072122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.73.7
53.950.2
Auto12.5
Teleop22.9
End7.9
blue by 1.3
45.01.3
53.552.2
Auto13.4
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Second
1745
#13
42.53.7
51.247.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.7
End7.5
blue by 2.1
44.61.3
48.447.1
Auto11.0
Teleop23.3
End9.4
Third
5212
#22
14.53.7
23.019.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End4.7
blue by 20.4
9105
#18
34.91.3
43.342.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned