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Red89
384738.0
550322.8
667242.8
Blue143
288132.9
62439.3
808827.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109100608012014016089143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
42.041.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End7.3
red by 3.5
624
#7
39.30.8
37.738.5
Auto12.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Second
38.00.3
37.236.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 5.1
2881
#12
32.90.8
31.332.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End8.0
Third
5503
#16
22.80.3
21.921.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End8.5
blue by 5.1
8088
#19
27.80.8
26.227.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.3