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Red89
667242.8
116416.3
905418.6
Blue55
429516.1
550322.8
384738.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686740506080901008955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.8
28.730.5
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End7.3
red by 4.7
38.00.9
33.532.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Second
9054
#18
18.61.8
22.224.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End8.9
blue by 4.1
5503
#16
22.80.9
14.313.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End8.5
Third
1164
#21
16.31.8
11.613.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.9
red by 0.1
4295
#17
16.10.9
15.714.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned