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Red46
288132.9
711912.3
855619.1
Blue109
147748.5
461025.8
905418.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597120408010012046109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#12
32.91.7
25.023.3
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End8.0
blue by 15.6
48.54.9
27.432.3
Auto12.6
Teleop26.9
End8.9
Second
19.11.7
13.411.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End5.4
blue by 6.6
4610
#10
25.84.9
20.725.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End7.5
Third
7119
#32
12.31.7
18.016.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 6.3
9054
#18
18.66.9
28.521.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned