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Red64
808827.8
84089.2
384738.0
Blue50
62439.3
711912.3
374312.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6458203040507080901006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.5
29.630.1
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
blue by 1.3
624
#7
39.30.6
33.733.1
Auto12.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Second
8088
#19
27.80.5
23.323.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 15.1
3743
#37
12.70.6
13.412.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End5.2
Third
8408
#33
9.20.5
6.77.2
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
blue by 3.1
7119
#32
12.30.6
8.37.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed24%Activation oddsMissed