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Red90
912834.3
278911.2
550322.8
Blue49
432814.7
471715.3
618018.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553802060801009049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.33.9
23.227.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.1
End5.4
red by 16.2
6180
#24
18.11.2
13.214.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.6
End7.5
Second
5503
#16
22.83.9
17.721.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End8.5
red by 7.4
4717
#40
15.31.2
13.815.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End6.2
Third
2789
#34
11.23.9
8.612.5
Auto1.2
Teleop5.2
End4.8
blue by 3.5
4328
#25
14.71.2
10.812.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed