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Red99
708815.1
680043.8
303527.1
Blue89
62439.3
116416.3
384738.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809140601001209989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.7
36.738.4
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.3
red by 4.5
624
#7
39.30.5
33.033.5
Auto12.4
Teleop17.6
End9.4
Second
27.11.7
24.626.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.6
End5.8
blue by 11.0
38.00.5
34.134.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Third
7088
#29
15.11.7
15.016.7
Auto1.6
Teleop8.0
End5.5
blue by 1.1
1164
#21
16.30.5
16.717.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned