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Red150
147748.5
808827.8
667242.8
Blue27
354516.1
71257.9
84089.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1262505010015020015027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.52.2
46.748.9
Auto12.6
Teleop26.9
End8.9
red by 32.4
3545
#27
16.10.7
17.216.5
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End4.4
Second
42.82.2
38.440.5
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End7.3
red by 33.6
8408
#33
9.20.7
10.29.5
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Third
8088
#19
27.82.2
22.324.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End5.3
red by 20.0
7125
#38
7.90.7
8.57.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned10%Activation oddsMissed