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Red95
384738.0
367614.2
288132.9
Blue66
271431.2
354516.1
471715.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78712040601001201409566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.8
32.534.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 6.9
2714
#11
31.21.0
31.530.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End6.1
Second
2881
#12
32.91.8
28.630.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.0
End8.0
red by 16.8
3545
#27
16.11.1
19.318.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End4.4
Third
3676
#28
14.21.8
11.413.3
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End6.6
blue by 1.1
4717
#40
15.31.1
16.915.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed