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Red110
905418.6
680043.8
637738.0
Blue116
667242.8
550322.8
384738.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061086080100120140160110116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.2
43.743.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.9
End7.3
red by 1.0
42.80.1
41.842.0
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End7.3
Second
38.00.2
37.938.1
Auto11.3
Teleop19.2
End7.5
Level
38.00.1
37.137.2
Auto11.1
Teleop20.4
End6.5
Third
9054
#18
18.60.2
18.518.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End8.9
blue by 4.1
5503
#16
22.80.1
21.821.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End8.5