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Red24
116416.3
373519.1
284821.6
Blue86
303527.1
912834.3
586615.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6083401001201402486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#20
21.60.8
22.421.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End5.7
blue by 12.7
34.30.1
33.833.9
Auto9.8
Teleop19.1
End5.4
Second
3735
#13
19.10.9
20.019.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.5
End6.9
blue by 8.0
27.10.1
26.526.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.6
End5.8
Third
1164
#21
16.30.8
17.016.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.9
red by 0.9
5866
#41
15.40.1
14.815.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End6.7