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Red107
913819.9
449955.0
224046.8
Blue87
593324.9
455036.2
212235.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610040608012016018020010787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.5
55.555.0
Auto16.6
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 18.8
36.20.2
36.636.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
46.80.5
47.246.8
Auto10.6
Teleop28.5
End7.6
red by 11.6
35.20.2
35.535.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
9138
#22
19.90.5
20.319.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
blue by 5.1
5933
#30
24.90.2
25.325.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9