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Red28
789523.7
904417.1
324320.5
Blue51
297219.8
364818.1
459325.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576801001502851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7895
#28
23.73.0
17.314.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
blue by 2.1
4593
#19
25.81.3
24.923.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
3243
#35
20.53.0
20.617.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End6.1
red by 0.7
2972
#24
19.81.3
17.215.9
Auto7.6
Teleop4.6
End7.6
Third
9044
#41
17.19.2
22.913.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End7.1
blue by 1.1
3648
#18
18.11.3
20.419.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed