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Red94
455036.2
434815.3
340512.8
Blue47
817422.7
297219.8
182816.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48510204060801001209447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.6
21.523.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 13.5
8174
#29
22.70.6
15.514.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Second
4348
#36
15.31.6
10.912.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End4.9
blue by 4.5
2972
#24
19.80.6
15.314.7
Auto7.6
Teleop4.6
End7.6
Third
3405
#43
12.81.6
13.214.8
Auto1.2
Teleop4.8
End6.8
blue by 3.5
1828
#40
16.30.6
16.716.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsMissed