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Qual 292023 Utah Regional
Red85
789523.7
585133.0
455036.2
Blue69
903717.5
212235.2
406833.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64692040801008569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#3
36.22.7
23.1→25.8
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 1.1
2122
#4
35.20.5
31.3→31.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Second
5851
#5
33.02.7
23.0→25.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End8.3
blue by 0.5
4068
#6
33.40.5
21.1→21.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End6.6
Third
7895
#28
23.72.7
14.5→17.3
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
red by 6.1
9037
#32
17.50.5
11.7→12.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned