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Red80
297219.8
455036.2
640025.1
Blue37
299317.6
903717.5
789523.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59452040808037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.9
25.828.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 12.6
7895
#28
23.70.8
17.316.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
Second
6400
#21
25.12.9
13.416.3
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End8.2
red by 7.5
2993
#34
17.60.8
14.713.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
Third
2972
#24
19.82.9
14.617.5
Auto7.6
Teleop4.6
End7.6
red by 2.3
9037
#32
17.50.8
12.311.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed