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Red54
790617.2
320018.9
903717.5
Blue27
763422.3
182816.3
340512.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60650501001502005427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#25
18.90.8
20.419.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
blue by 3.5
7634
#39
22.33.7
21.117.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End6.5
Second
9037
#32
17.57.7
23.515.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
red by 1.2
1828
#40
16.33.7
21.818.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End6.4
Third
7906
#42
17.20.8
19.418.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.4
End7.3
red by 4.4
3405
#43
12.83.7
17.113.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsMissed