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Red70
299317.6
459822.5
684421.3
Blue64
459325.8
789523.7
507119.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5864203040507080901007064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#16
22.50.6
20.120.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End6.5
blue by 3.3
4593
#19
25.80.5
24.424.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
6844
#15
21.30.6
20.821.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 2.4
7895
#28
23.70.5
16.517.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
Third
2993
#34
17.60.6
13.914.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 2.0
5071
#37
19.60.5
18.318.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed