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Red61
406833.4
299317.6
434815.3
Blue51
459822.5
913819.9
888516.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658203040507080906151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.9
24.125.0
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 11.0
4598
#16
22.50.9
20.619.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End6.5
Second
2993
#34
17.60.9
14.515.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
blue by 2.3
9138
#22
19.90.9
19.418.5
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
Third
4348
#36
15.30.9
14.515.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End4.9
blue by 1.5
8885
#38
16.80.9
14.013.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed