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Red43
494425.0
903717.5
641120.9
Blue67
635814.6
340512.8
831.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65623040507080901004367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#20
25.01.9
24.722.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End5.4
blue by 6.6
8
#7
31.60.4
29.830.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.7
End6.6
Second
6411
#12
20.91.9
21.319.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End6.1
red by 6.3
6358
#33
14.60.4
14.114.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End5.9
Third
9037
#32
17.51.9
14.412.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
red by 4.7
3405
#43
12.80.4
14.414.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned