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Red71
133218.4
364818.1
593324.9
Blue65
297219.8
328819.2
417524.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58603040507080907165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#30
24.91.8
22.924.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9
red by 0.3
4175
#17
24.61.0
17.518.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Second
1332
#11
18.41.8
16.218.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End5.3
blue by 1.4
2972
#24
19.81.0
17.418.4
Auto7.6
Teleop4.6
End7.6
Third
3648
#18
18.11.8
15.417.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End5.2
blue by 1.1
3288
#31
19.21.0
21.022.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsEarned