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Red99
212235.2
19229.9
789523.7
Blue86
299626.1
224046.8
434815.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7884506070901001101209986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.22.1
31.533.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End8.3
blue by 11.6
46.80.8
38.038.8
Auto10.6
Teleop28.5
End7.6
Second
192
#8
29.91.9
24.726.6
Auto13.1
Teleop11.7
End5.2
red by 3.8
2996
#14
26.10.8
26.927.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Third
7895
#28
23.72.1
17.919.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
red by 8.3
4348
#36
15.30.8
12.913.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsMissed