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Red40
817422.7
494425.0
299317.6
Blue64
641120.9
790617.2
364818.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635602040801001204064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#20
25.01.8
22.220.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End5.4
red by 4.1
6411
#12
20.91.0
18.619.7
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Second
8174
#29
22.71.8
22.020.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End6.9
red by 4.6
3648
#18
18.11.0
19.620.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End5.2
Third
2993
#34
17.61.8
14.412.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
red by 0.4
7906
#42
17.21.0
15.316.3
Auto1.6
Teleop8.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned