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Red30
459822.5
903717.5
458517.2
Blue107
684421.3
133218.4
449955.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310810015030107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#16
22.52.4
22.820.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End6.5
blue by 32.6
55.01.1
53.955.0
Auto16.6
Teleop30.3
End8.0
Second
9037
#32
17.52.4
16.514.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
blue by 3.8
6844
#15
21.31.1
21.822.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Third
4585
#10
17.22.4
17.815.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End6.5
blue by 1.2
1332
#11
18.41.1
19.120.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned