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Red55
455036.2
684421.3
913819.9
Blue70
458517.2
641120.9
299626.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63612040801005570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.3
19.419.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 10.2
2996
#14
26.10.4
22.021.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Second
6844
#15
21.30.3
21.721.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.2
End4.6
red by 0.4
6411
#12
20.90.4
20.420.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Third
9138
#22
19.98.7
25.116.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
red by 2.7
4585
#10
17.20.4
16.215.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned