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Red59
790617.2
789523.7
817422.7
Blue71
593324.9
299317.6
324517.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63592040801005971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7895
#28
23.70.0
22.322.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End7.9
blue by 1.3
5933
#30
24.91.4
26.627.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9
Second
8174
#29
22.70.0
20.220.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.5
End6.9
red by 5.1
2993
#34
17.61.4
12.614.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End5.2
Third
7906
#42
17.20.0
16.316.3
Auto1.6
Teleop8.4
End7.3
red by 0.3
3245
#44
17.01.4
16.317.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed