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Red70
640025.1
904417.1
458517.2
Blue79
808717.2
156924.6
417524.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60692040801007079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6400
#21
25.10.5
24.725.2
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End8.2
red by 0.4
4175
#17
24.60.7
24.024.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Second
4585
#10
17.20.5
16.517.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End6.5
blue by 7.4
1569
#23
24.60.7
23.524.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End9.4
Third
9044
#41
17.10.5
16.517.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End7.1
blue by 0.1
8087
#26
17.20.7
16.517.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned