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Red133
913819.9
449955.0
224046.8
Blue100
19229.9
585133.0
903717.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1427450100200133100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.1
56.456.4
Auto16.6
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 22.1
33.00.4
32.232.5
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End8.3
Second
46.80.1
48.148.2
Auto10.6
Teleop28.5
End7.6
red by 16.9
192
#8
29.90.4
29.129.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Third
9138
#22
19.90.1
21.221.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
red by 2.4
9037
#32
17.50.4
16.717.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9