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Red98
19229.9
585133.0
903717.5
Blue126
593324.9
455036.2
212235.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811055015098126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.4
32.533.0
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End8.3
blue by 3.3
36.20.5
35.836.3
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
192
#8
29.90.4
29.529.9
Auto13.1
Teleop11.7
End5.2
blue by 5.3
35.20.5
34.835.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
9037
#32
17.50.4
17.117.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End6.9
blue by 7.4
5933
#30
24.90.5
24.525.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End6.9