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Red149
913819.9
449955.0
224046.8
Blue50
156924.6
320018.9
70113.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14446010020014950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.5
55.656.1
Auto16.6
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 30.5
1569
#23
24.60.1
24.224.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End9.4
Second
46.80.5
47.347.8
Auto10.6
Teleop28.5
End7.6
red by 27.9
3200
#25
18.90.1
18.518.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Third
9138
#22
19.90.5
20.420.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End8.3
red by 6.4
701
#13
13.50.1
13.113.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End5.1