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Red22
298817.5
81978.4
454127.2
Blue111
859250.5
379320.0
511529.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5971020408010012014016022111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#12
27.23.9
23.920.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.9
blue by 23.3
50.52.1
26.928.9
Auto13.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
2988
#29
17.53.9
18.614.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End4.0
blue by 11.9
5115
#22
29.43.4
19.723.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End7.9
Third
8197
#39
8.43.9
14.610.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 11.7
3793
#31
20.03.4
18.521.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned