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Red71
409939.1
218621.9
284923.2
Blue91
823031.8
171919.1
138930.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648120401001207191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#13
39.10.6
30.431.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
red by 7.3
31.80.2
27.227.0
Auto14.7
Teleop10.3
End6.8
Second
2849
#35
23.21.0
14.315.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End4.3
blue by 7.4
1389
#10
30.60.2
24.224.1
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
21.91.0
17.318.3
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End6.9
red by 2.8
1719
#16
19.10.3
22.221.9
Auto9.8
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsMissed