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Red54
511529.4
188519.1
141824.2
Blue95
454127.2
336118.7
823031.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5764203040507080905495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#22
29.40.6
22.421.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End7.9
blue by 2.4
31.82.4
27.029.4
Auto14.7
Teleop10.3
End6.8
Second
1418
#30
24.20.6
19.418.8
Auto12.7
Teleop7.9
End3.7
blue by 3.0
4541
#12
27.24.0
17.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.9
Third
1885
#15
19.10.4
12.612.2
Auto7.6
Teleop6.2
End5.4
red by 0.4
3361
#38
18.72.4
15.117.5
Auto9.0
Teleop8.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsEarned