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Red59
61223.5
11624.0
823031.8
Blue120
511529.4
903321.3
447235.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797420406010012014059120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.0
29.528.5
Auto14.7
Teleop10.3
End6.8
blue by 3.2
35.04.2
28.132.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.6
Second
116
#28
24.01.6
26.424.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End4.9
blue by 5.3
5115
#22
29.44.2
23.828.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End7.9
Third
612
#18
23.51.6
17.916.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 2.2
9033
#19
21.32.5
18.521.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsEarned