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Red99
68636.8
191517.0
872619.4
Blue80
138930.6
463817.4
284923.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575850607080909980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#4
36.82.0
23.425.4
Auto12.2
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 6.1
1389
#10
30.61.4
27.228.6
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Second
8726
#26
19.42.0
15.117.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.1
blue by 3.9
2849
#35
23.22.3
11.313.6
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Third
1915
#17
17.01.2
15.416.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End7.9
blue by 0.5
4638
#32
17.41.4
15.717.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed15%Activation oddsMissed