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Red83
171919.1
68636.8
218621.9
Blue41
584110.6
81978.4
337329.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73470204060801001201408341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#4
36.81.3
28.229.5
Auto12.2
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 6.9
3373
#11
29.90.7
26.625.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End11.8
Second
21.91.3
18.720.0
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End6.9
red by 11.3
5841
#40
10.60.7
10.39.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End3.9
Third
1719
#16
19.11.3
18.219.6
Auto9.8
Teleop6.3
End3.1
red by 10.7
8197
#39
8.41.2
10.39.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed