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Red77
242123.7
379320.0
454127.2
Blue110
447235.0
409939.1
296112.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748740608010012014077110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#12
27.20.1
30.630.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.9
blue by 11.8
4099
#13
39.11.7
34.035.7
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
Second
2421
#20
23.70.1
21.321.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End8.6
blue by 11.3
35.02.6
33.235.8
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.6
Third
3793
#31
20.00.1
19.019.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 7.2
2961
#23
12.81.7
12.414.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed