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Red72
284923.2
524320.7
923521.1
Blue90
33919.0
558715.8
138930.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5469204060801001207290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2849
#35
23.21.7
15.617.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End4.3
blue by 7.4
1389
#10
30.61.1
30.131.2
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Second
9235
#33
21.11.3
18.119.4
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End6.6
red by 2.1
339
#21
19.01.5
18.820.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.2
End6.1
Third
5243
#24
20.71.7
18.920.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.3
End8.7
red by 4.8
5587
#37
15.81.1
14.315.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned