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Red116
777025.2
859250.5
298817.5
Blue103
61223.5
409939.1
141824.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92814060100120140160116103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.8
44.546.3
Auto13.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
red by 11.5
4099
#13
39.10.1
37.937.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
Second
25.22.3
25.828.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End5.2
red by 1.0
1418
#30
24.20.1
20.820.6
Auto12.7
Teleop7.9
End3.7
Third
2988
#29
17.52.3
14.316.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End4.0
blue by 6.1
612
#18
23.50.1
18.918.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed