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Red74
872619.4
558715.8
337329.9
Blue93
584110.6
11624.0
409939.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68762040601001207493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#11
29.90.0
29.629.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End11.8
blue by 9.2
4099
#13
39.11.2
37.838.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.2
End8.4
Second
8726
#26
19.40.1
19.619.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.0
End5.1
blue by 4.7
116
#28
24.01.4
23.625.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End4.9
Third
5587
#37
15.80.0
15.515.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End7.6
red by 5.2
5841
#40
10.61.2
9.110.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed