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Red129
61223.5
284923.2
859250.5
Blue61
907218.1
242123.7
218621.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916420408010012014016018012961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.52.8
46.349.1
Auto13.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
red by 26.8
2421
#20
23.70.2
21.521.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End8.6
Second
612
#18
23.53.4
18.722.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 1.6
21.90.2
22.922.7
Auto9.5
Teleop5.5
End6.9
Third
2849
#35
23.23.4
17.320.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End4.3
red by 5.2
9072
#36
18.10.2
19.519.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned