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Red103
374813.2
68636.8
61223.5
Blue67
859020.1
823031.8
524320.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678420406010012014010367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#4
36.82.4
33.335.7
Auto12.2
Teleop15.9
End8.7
red by 5.0
31.81.3
33.231.9
Auto14.7
Teleop10.3
End6.8
Second
612
#18
23.52.4
22.124.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 2.9
5243
#24
20.71.5
22.120.7
Auto6.7
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
3748
#34
13.22.4
9.712.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 6.9
8590
#25
20.11.5
21.620.1
Auto9.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned