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Red52
296112.8
61223.5
903321.3
Blue45
558715.8
284923.2
511529.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515602040801001201405245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#18
23.50.2
20.720.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.7
End6.6
blue by 5.8
5115
#22
29.40.8
23.122.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End7.9
Second
9033
#19
21.30.1
19.319.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.0
End5.3
blue by 1.9
2849
#35
23.20.8
15.114.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Third
2961
#23
12.80.1
8.88.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
blue by 3.0
5587
#37
15.80.5
13.813.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed